The Philippine's big one (West Valley Fault System)

Juan Apolinario C. Reyes

 I am reading and preparing for my lectures on exponential probability distributions. My readings and thinking about this topic got me to say the paragraphs below.

If an active fault hasn't moved in a long time to give us a major earthquake when geological records show it has done that in the past, then the probability it will move again as to give a massive earthquake, leaving behind massive destruction, progressively goes close to 100% as time and years pass by.

The destruction of all buildings and infrastructures along the West Valley Fault System and the pain and anguish it will leave behind are already set on stone. The probability of a huge earthquake due to the movements along this fault is as sure as the destiny of all our dogs and cats. They all die.

I wonder where in Metro Manila will my siblings and their kids be when the big one happens.

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